Foresight in an Uncertain World

Multiple drivers are emerging that may radically affect global food systems. Collectively, these issues suggest the future of food systems is more uncertain than typically considered. This uncertainty calls for more forward-looking analysis, as “business as usual” projections of trends may not well forecast future conditions. This is the role of foresight and scenario analyses.

There have been many recent exercises looking to the future, yet making sense of them is difficult. They can paint a confused picture that does not aid policy analysis or societal understanding. There is, therefore, a critical need to collate, synthesise and promote best practice in this area. Foresight is a key tool that governments, private sector and civil society can jointly use to better understand future risks and opportunities in food systems, explore possible cutures and to adapt – before crises hit.

Yet, current foresight efforts are often fragmented or one-off and do not take full advantage of the complementarity of qualitative and quantitative approaches. Further, the science of foresight requires much better connecting with societal debate and policy dialogue to support change.

 

See below for a selection of latest blog posts on foresight efforts and approaches:

 

The Montpellier Workshop and Next Steps

Click here for the complete workshop report and materials With the Foresight4Food Initiative’s second workshop successfully wrapped up and follow-up activities underway, this post reflects on the event as a whole. Hosted in Montpellier with the excellent support of MUSE, CIRAD, GFAR, and ACIAR, the workshop brought together individuals from a diverse range of foresight …

Read moreThe Montpellier Workshop and Next Steps

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Foresight4Food – In Plain Language

  Knowing what the future holds is never easy, and as often as not our predictions can turn out to be quite wrong. But some things we do know.  A sugary fatty diet with too little exercise will make us obese, with a high chance of ending up with diabetes.  If many of us follow …

Read moreForesight4Food – In Plain Language

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Foresight for Food in an Uncertain World

Multiple drivers are emerging that may radically affect global food systems. Collectively, these issues suggest the future of food systems is more uncertain than typically considered. This uncertainty calls for more forward-looking analysis, as “business as usual” projections of trends may not well forecast future conditions. This is the role of foresight and scenario analyses. …

Read moreForesight for Food in an Uncertain World

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